By Bernard Bujold (LeStudio1.com) – According to the latest survey by Friday, August 30th, by Léger and Léger and published in Le Journal de Montreal, the next government would be led by Pauline Marois of the Parti Québécois with just 63 members and 33% of votes while François Legault is second with 28% of votes and Jean Charest third with 27% of votes. The National Assembly of Quebec have a total of 125 parliamentary seats.
But the real question: will we see a total surprise with a magic trick by Jean Charest or another party leader? Everything is possible because popular sentiment is completely divided between all large parties. If the party of Françoise David was more consistent, there is even reason to believe about her election as majority leader as she is the only one that all Quebecers admire but that very few recognize the strength of her party.
The surprise would be the breakdown of voting for a party but there is every reason to believe that we will see rather a situation like 40 members average for each of the three major parties. That will create a dramatic result because nobody will actually head the Quebec government. This is the conclusion of Conrad Black in the National Post. The only solution if this result happen would be another election.
According to me, ideally, one could argue that the best leader for Quebec is Jean Charest but his team is disappointing; Pauline Marois team is impressive but the chief make people worried about her real leadership on the PQ members; the team of François Legault as well as its chief are definitely too far right and extreme for the type of personality of Quebecers. For whom I will vote Sept. 4: I do not know yet and I will decide in the voting booth on election day, as well as several other Quebecers, even those who say they are already decided. And this is where the whole problem lies in this election which will be decided on a crapshoot on election day.
Nothing will really be determined before the counting of votes on the evening of September 4, 2012 and this is a dangerous situation because anything can happen, even nonsense… This is also called the harsh reality! Stay tuned!
Photo 1: The outgoing Prime Minister Jean Charest;
Photo 2: The Parti Québécois leader Pauline Marois;
Photo 3: The future leader of the Coalition Québec, François Legault;
View Poll Le Journal de Montreal ;
See analysis by Conrad Black – The National Post ;